Erskine Park vs Minchinbury

Comparing Erskine Park and Minchinbury, NSW: Erskine Park carries more bushfire risk (82 vs 0); Minchinbury is more walkable (73 vs 50); and Erskine Park sits further from the CBD (44.2 km vs 40.5 km).

Which one suits you?

There is no overall winner — the suburb that suits a family with school-age kids is routinely the wrong one for someone commuting into the city. So each of these answers its own question, against a checklist you can see, using the same figures in the tables below.

Families with school-age kids

They split

one each way, out of the 6 things we measure here

  • Erskine Park carries lower crime risk (46/100 vs 79/100)
  • Minchinbury has more childcare (9 vs 6)

Weighs schools, house stock, crime, parks, childcare, and who already lives there.

First-home buyers

Minchinbury

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • has cheaper units ($760,000 vs $885,000)

Weighs house prices, unit prices, and mortgage stress.

Renters

Too close to call

Nothing among the 3 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs rent, rental stress, and how much is for rent.

Commuting to the city

Minchinbury

ahead on 3 of the 4 things we measure here

  • is more walkable (73/100 vs 50/100)
  • has a shorter drive in (39 min vs 47 min)
  • sits closer to the CBD (40.5 km vs 44.2 km)

Weighs distance, drive time, rail access, and walkability.

Downsizers and retirees

They split

one each way, out of the 5 things we measure here

  • Erskine Park carries lower crime risk (46/100 vs 79/100)
  • Minchinbury is more walkable (73/100 vs 50/100)

Weighs smaller dwellings, who already lives there, GPs, walkability, and crime.

Investors

Erskine Park

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • returns a higher gross yield on houses (3.9% vs 3.0%)

Weighs house yield and population growth.

Where they sit

Erskine Park and Minchinbury drawn to the same scale. Both outlines are shown together, so the map answers whether they share a border and how their areas compare.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Hides rows where both suburbs match

Bars start at zero. Scores, risks and rankings are drawn against their full 0–100 range; other rows are drawn in proportion to the larger of the two.

Side by side, out of 100

Risks are inverted — shown as safety and low exposure — so a longer bar always means better.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Walkability 50 / 73
Erskine Park — Walkability: 50/100 Minchinbury — Walkability: 73/100
Safety 54 / 21
Erskine Park — Safety: 54/100 Minchinbury — Safety: 21/100
Low fire risk 18 / 100
Erskine Park — Low fire risk: 18/100 Minchinbury — Low fire risk: 100/100

Demographics

Erskine Park skews older (37 vs 35).

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Population 6,486
+11% vs other
 5,778
Population trend (2016 → 2021) +0.8% +2.8%
Median age 37 35
Median household income $122,148/yr
+6% vs other
 $114,816/yr
Median weekly rent $450/wk
same for both

Age profile

Share of residents in each band, 2021 Census.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
0-4 5.8% / 6.6%
Erskine Park — 0-4: 5.8% Minchinbury — 0-4: 6.6%
5-14 13.0% / 14.2%
Erskine Park — 5-14: 13.0% Minchinbury — 5-14: 14.2%
15-19 7.4% / 7.2%
Erskine Park — 15-19: 7.4% Minchinbury — 15-19: 7.2%
20-24 7.3% / 7.1%
Erskine Park — 20-24: 7.3% Minchinbury — 20-24: 7.1%
25-34 14.1% / 13.7%
Erskine Park — 25-34: 14.1% Minchinbury — 25-34: 13.7%
35-44 12.8% / 13.3%
Erskine Park — 35-44: 12.8% Minchinbury — 35-44: 13.3%
45-54 13.4% / 13.3%
Erskine Park — 45-54: 13.4% Minchinbury — 45-54: 13.3%
55-64 15.6% / 14.0%
Erskine Park — 55-64: 15.6% Minchinbury — 55-64: 14.0%
65-74 7.8% / 7.4%
Erskine Park — 65-74: 7.8% Minchinbury — 65-74: 7.4%
75-84 2.2% / 2.7%
Erskine Park — 75-84: 2.2% Minchinbury — 75-84: 2.7%
85+ 0.6% / 0.4%
Erskine Park — 85+: 0.6% Minchinbury — 85+: 0.4%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (15.6%).

Who lives together

Household composition, 2021 Census.

Erskine Park 64.7% couple families
Erskine Park — Couple Families: 64.7% Erskine Park — One Parent Families: 17.2% Erskine Park — Lone Person: 15.2% Erskine Park — Group Household: 2.0% Erskine Park — Other Families: 1.0%
Minchinbury 62.6% couple families
Minchinbury — Couple Families: 62.6% Minchinbury — One Parent Families: 19.2% Minchinbury — Lone Person: 15.2% Minchinbury — Group Household: 1.8% Minchinbury — Other Families: 1.2%
Couple Families One Parent Families Lone Person Group Household Other Families

Who owns and who rents

Occupied private dwellings by tenure, 2021 Census.

Erskine Park 19.7% renting
Erskine Park — Owned Outright: 31.1% Erskine Park — Mortgage: 49.2% Erskine Park — Renting: 19.7%
Minchinbury 20.5% renting
Minchinbury — Owned Outright: 29.3% Minchinbury — Mortgage: 50.2% Minchinbury — Renting: 20.5%
Owned outright Mortgage Renting

Qualifications

Highest non-school qualification, residents 15+, 2021 Census.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Certificate III & IV 17.4% / 13.2%
Erskine Park — Certificate III & IV: 17.4% Minchinbury — Certificate III & IV: 13.2%
Bachelor Degree 9.7% / 12.2%
Erskine Park — Bachelor Degree: 9.7% Minchinbury — Bachelor Degree: 12.2%
Advanced Diploma / Diploma 7.5% / 7.6%
Erskine Park — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 7.5% Minchinbury — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 7.6%
Postgraduate Degree 2.3% / 2.9%
Erskine Park — Postgraduate Degree: 2.3% Minchinbury — Postgraduate Degree: 2.9%
Graduate Diploma / Certificate 1.0% / 1.0%
Erskine Park — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 1.0% Minchinbury — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 1.0%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (17.4%).

Where residents were born

Largest overseas birthplaces, as a share of all residents, 2021 Census. A dash means that country is not among the suburb's own eight largest.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Philippines 3.8% / 7.7%
Erskine Park — Philippines: 3.8% Minchinbury — Philippines: 7.7%
New Zealand 2.3% / 2.5%
Erskine Park — New Zealand: 2.3% Minchinbury — New Zealand: 2.5%
India 1.8% / 2.2%
Erskine Park — India: 1.8% Minchinbury — India: 2.2%
Fiji 1.1% / 2.9%
Erskine Park — Fiji: 1.1% Minchinbury — Fiji: 2.9%
England 1.9% / 1.2%
Erskine Park — England: 1.9% Minchinbury — England: 1.2%
Pakistan — / 1.9%
Erskine Park — Pakistan: not among its largest Minchinbury — Pakistan: 1.9%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (7.7%).

What people live in

Occupied private dwellings by structure, 2021 Census.

Erskine Park 98.1% houses
Erskine Park — Houses: 98.1% Erskine Park — Flats / Apartments: 0.6% Erskine Park — Townhouses: 1.3%
Minchinbury 94.0% houses
Minchinbury — Houses: 94.0% Minchinbury — Flats / Apartments: 3.6% Minchinbury — Townhouses: 2.4%
Houses Flats / Apartments Townhouses

Property market

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Median house price $1,210,000 $1,235,000
Median unit price $885,000 $760,000
Median land price —
same for both
Typical days to sell (houses) 26 days
from 28 sales
 23 days
from 37 sales

House price by bedroom count

Only bed counts both suburbs published enough sales for. Sale counts are shown because the buckets differ in depth.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
3 bed $1.1M / $1.11M
Erskine Park — 3 bed: $1.1M (31 sales) Minchinbury — 3 bed: $1.11M (21 sales)

31 vs 21 sales

4 bed $1.29M / $1.23M
Erskine Park — 4 bed: $1.29M (37 sales) Minchinbury — 4 bed: $1.23M (34 sales)

37 vs 34 sales

5 bed $1.29M / $1.35M
Erskine Park — 5 bed: $1.29M (7 sales) Minchinbury — 5 bed: $1.35M (15 sales)

7 vs 15 sales

Zoning mix

Erskine Park has more land zoned for conservation (17% vs 3%); Erskine Park has more industrially zoned land (48% vs 36%).

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Industrial 48% 36%
Residential 23% 35%
Infrastructure and transport 4% 18%
Environmental 17% 3%
Parks and recreation 7%
same for both
Zoning sets what may be built, not what is there today. A single address can sit in a different zone to the suburb around it. Zones as at 2026-09.

Development activity

Erskine Park Minchinbury
New dwellings approved 1,063
across Penrith
 2,325
across Blacktown
Approvals change year on year -78% -18%

Gross rental yield

Gross — before strata, rates, management, insurance and vacancy. From median advertised rents and median asking prices over the last 6 months. How we calculate.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Houses 3.9%
$850/wk on $1.14M
 3.0%
$685/wk on $1.2M
Units —
same for both

Ranking within NSW

Erskine Park Minchinbury
House price Higher than 61% of NSW
same for both
Income Higher than 85% of NSW Higher than 79% of NSW
Schools —
same for both
Walkability Higher than 81% of NSW Higher than 89% of NSW
Affordability Higher than 67% of NSW Higher than 62% of NSW
EV adoption Higher than 50% of NSW Higher than 32% of NSW
NBN connectivity Higher than 84% of NSW Higher than 94% of NSW
Rental yield (houses) Higher than 67% of NSW Higher than 20% of NSW

Liveability

Minchinbury is more walkable (73 vs 50); Minchinbury scores higher overall (58 vs 41).

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Grade C B
Score 41/100 58/100
Socio-economic band advantaged area
decile 7/10
 mid-range socio-economic
decile 6/10

Risk profile

Erskine Park carries more bushfire risk (82 vs 0); Minchinbury carries more crime risk (79 vs 46).

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Bushfire High
82/100
 None
0/100
Crime Moderate
46/100
 High
79/100
Flood Not mapped
no mapped data here
same for both
Coastal erosion None
0/100
same for both
Aircraft noise None
0/100
same for both
Industrial facilities nearby 12
within 5 km
 16
within 5 km

Schools

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Inside the suburb 2 1
Rated above peers 0
same for both
Rated at peers 1
same for both
Rated below peers 1 0
Universities within 10 km 1
Western Sydney University - Penrith, 8.7 km
 None

Schools in Erskine Park

  • James Erskine Public School Government · Primary at peers
  • Erskine Park High School Government · Secondary below peers

Schools in Minchinbury

  • Minchinbury Public School Government · Primary at peers

Amenities in the suburb

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Supermarkets 2 1
Cafes & restaurants 0 2
Parks & reserves 7
same for both
Childcare 6 9
GPs 2 1
Pharmacies 1
same for both
Fuel stations 1 3
Waterways 2 3

Mobility

Erskine Park sits further from the CBD (44.2 km vs 40.5 km).

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Walkability score 50/100 73/100
Distance to Sydney 44.2 km
+8% vs other
 40.5 km
Drive time (normal traffic) 47 min 39 min
Public transport score 79/100
Bus
same for both
Peak arrivals per hour 143.0
7-9am + 5-7pm
 101.8
7-9am + 5-7pm
Median peak wait 0 min
scheduled, not actual
same for both
Electric vehicle share 0.5%
postcode 2759
 0.3%
postcode 2770
Rooftop solar per 100 dwellings 55
postcode 2759
 37
postcode 2770

How people get to work

Method of travel on census day 2021 — which fell during COVID restrictions, so working from home is inflated and every travel mode understated.

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Car (driver) 61.6% / 57.4%
Erskine Park — Car (driver): 61.6% Minchinbury — Car (driver): 57.4%
Worked from Home 31.7% / 34.0%
Erskine Park — Worked from Home: 31.7% Minchinbury — Worked from Home: 34.0%
Car (passenger) 4.0% / 5.2%
Erskine Park — Car (passenger): 4.0% Minchinbury — Car (passenger): 5.2%
Train 1.5% / 2.0%
Erskine Park — Train: 1.5% Minchinbury — Train: 2.0%
Bus 0.6% / 0.7%
Erskine Park — Bus: 0.6% Minchinbury — Bus: 0.7%
Walked Only 0.5% / 0.7%
Erskine Park — Walked Only: 0.5% Minchinbury — Walked Only: 0.7%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (61.6%).

Setting

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Elevation 63 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
 67 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
Distance to the ocean 37.0 km 35.8 km

NBN connectivity

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Connectivity score 75/100 90/100
Most common technology Hybrid fibre-coaxial Fibre to the premises
Full-fibre (FTTP) share 3%
2,236 premises
 53%
2,247 premises

Climate

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Annual rainfall 822 mm 931 mm
Summer max (Jan) — 28.9°C
Winter min (Jul) — 6.9°C

Air quality (annual mean)

Erskine Park Minchinbury
PM2.5 5.6 µg/m³
same for both
PM10 17.6 µg/m³
same for both
NO₂ 0.55 pphm
same for both

Council rates

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Average residential rate $1,547/yr $1,157/yr
Council Penrith Blacktown

Federal electorate

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Division Mcmahon
same for both
Member Chris Bowen
same for both
Party Australian Labor Party
same for both

First Home Owner Grant

Erskine Park Minchinbury
Grant amount $10,000
same for both
Property price cap $600,000
same for both
Eligibility New
same for both

Tags

Erskine Park

Large Blocks Outer

Minchinbury

Large Blocks Multicultural Outer Parks Quiet River

More comparisons

Other comparisons with Erskine Park

Erskine Park vs St Clair Erskine Park vs Colyton Erskine Park vs Kemps Creek Erskine Park vs Orchard Hills Erskine Park vs Horsley Park Erskine Park vs Eastern Creek

Other comparisons with Minchinbury

Minchinbury vs Mount Druitt Minchinbury vs Rooty Hill Minchinbury vs Colyton Minchinbury vs Oxley Park Minchinbury vs Eastern Creek
Full data on Erskine Park Full data on Minchinbury
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Information shown is provided as-is from Australian government and commercial data sources.
Always verify with the relevant authority before making property decisions.
See Data Sources and How We Calculate for details.

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