Chances Plain vs Red Hill

Red Hill is the younger of the two, with a median age of 36 against 43 in Chances Plain. In both, the large majority of households own their home, the large majority of homes are detached houses, and most households are couple families. On these figures, Chances Plain tends to suit people living alone, while Red Hill suits families with children and couples.

Which one suits you?

There is no overall winner — the suburb that suits a family with school-age kids is routinely the wrong one for someone commuting into the city. So each of these answers its own question, against a checklist you can see, using the same figures in the tables below.

Families with school-age kids

Red Hill

ahead on 2 of the 6 things we measure here

  • is already more of a family suburb (83% vs 59%)
  • has more separate houses rather than flats (100% vs 88%)

Weighs schools, house stock, crime, parks, childcare, and who already lives there.

First-home buyers

Too close to call

Nothing among the 1 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs mortgage stress.

Renters

Chances Plain

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • has cheaper rent ($231/wk vs $300/wk)

Weighs rent, rental stress, and how much is for rent.

Commuting to the city

Chances Plain

ahead on 2 of the 3 things we measure here

  • has a shorter drive in (208 min vs 224 min)
  • sits closer to the CBD (287.3 km vs 301.8 km)

Weighs distance, drive time, and walkability.

Downsizers and retirees

Too close to call

Nothing among the 4 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs who already lives there, GPs, walkability, and crime.

Investors

Red Hill

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • is growing faster (166.7% vs 4.6%)

Weighs population growth.

Where they sit

Chances Plain and Red Hill drawn to the same scale. Both outlines are shown together, so the map answers whether they share a border and how their areas compare.

Chances Plain Red Hill
Hides rows where both suburbs match

Bars start at zero. Scores, risks and rankings are drawn against their full 0–100 range; other rows are drawn in proportion to the larger of the two.

Side by side, out of 100

Risks are inverted — shown as safety and low exposure — so a longer bar always means better.

Chances Plain Red Hill
Walkability 0 / 0
Chances Plain — Walkability: 0/100 Red Hill — Walkability: 0/100
Safety 88 / 89
Chances Plain — Safety: 88/100 Red Hill — Safety: 89/100
Low fire risk 100 / 100
Chances Plain — Low fire risk: 100/100 Red Hill — Low fire risk: 100/100

Demographics

Red Hill rents higher ($300/wk vs $231/wk); Chances Plain skews older (43 vs 36).

Chances Plain Red Hill
Population 158 160
+1% vs other
Population trend (2016 → 2021) +4.6% +166.7%
Median age 43 36
Median household income $99,112/yr $110,500/yr
+11% vs other
Median weekly rent $231/wk $300/wk
+30% vs other

Age profile

Share of residents in each band, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain Red Hill
0-4 6.3% / 13.1%
Chances Plain — 0-4: 6.3% Red Hill — 0-4: 13.1%
5-14 10.1% / 18.1%
Chances Plain — 5-14: 10.1% Red Hill — 5-14: 18.1%
15-19 10.1% / 6.2%
Chances Plain — 15-19: 10.1% Red Hill — 15-19: 6.2%
20-24 5.1% / 4.4%
Chances Plain — 20-24: 5.1% Red Hill — 20-24: 4.4%
25-34 4.4% / 13.1%
Chances Plain — 25-34: 4.4% Red Hill — 25-34: 13.1%
35-44 11.4% / 12.5%
Chances Plain — 35-44: 11.4% Red Hill — 35-44: 12.5%
45-54 14.6% / 16.9%
Chances Plain — 45-54: 14.6% Red Hill — 45-54: 16.9%
55-64 15.2% / 10.0%
Chances Plain — 55-64: 15.2% Red Hill — 55-64: 10.0%
65-74 12.7% / 6.9%
Chances Plain — 65-74: 12.7% Red Hill — 65-74: 6.9%
75-84 3.8% / 3.8%
Chances Plain — 75-84: 3.8% Red Hill — 75-84: 3.8%
85+ — / 4.4%
Chances Plain — 85+: not among its largest Red Hill — 85+: 4.4%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (18.1%).

Who lives together

Household composition, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain 58.6% couple families
Chances Plain — Couple Families: 58.6% Chances Plain — Lone Person: 31.0% Chances Plain — Group Household: 10.3%
Red Hill 83.3% couple families
Red Hill — Couple Families: 83.3% Red Hill — Lone Person: 16.7% Red Hill — Group Household: 0.0%
Couple Families Lone Person Group Household

Who owns and who rents

Occupied private dwellings by tenure, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain 12.2% renting
Chances Plain — Owned Outright: 65.9% Chances Plain — Mortgage: 22.0% Chances Plain — Renting: 12.2%
Red Hill 18.4% renting
Red Hill — Owned Outright: 28.6% Red Hill — Mortgage: 53.1% Red Hill — Renting: 18.4%
Owned outright Mortgage Renting

What people live in

Occupied private dwellings by structure, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain 88.2% houses
Chances Plain — Houses: 88.2% Chances Plain — Flats / Apartments: 11.8%
Red Hill 100.0% houses
Red Hill — Houses: 100.0% Red Hill — Flats / Apartments: 0.0%
Houses Flats / Apartments

Qualifications

Highest non-school qualification, residents 15+, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain Red Hill
Certificate III & IV 20.9% / 14.4%
Chances Plain — Certificate III & IV: 20.9% Red Hill — Certificate III & IV: 14.4%
Bachelor Degree 8.9% / 8.8%
Chances Plain — Bachelor Degree: 8.9% Red Hill — Bachelor Degree: 8.8%
Advanced Diploma / Diploma 3.8% / 5.0%
Chances Plain — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 3.8% Red Hill — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 5.0%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (20.9%).

Development activity

Chances Plain Red Hill
New dwellings approved 53
across Western Downs
same for both
Approvals change year on year -40%
same for both

Ranking within QLD

Chances Plain Red Hill
House price —
same for both
Income Higher than 73% of QLD Higher than 82% of QLD
Schools —
same for both
Walkability Higher than 13% of QLD Higher than 8% of QLD
Affordability —
same for both
EV adoption Higher than 6% of QLD
same for both
NBN connectivity Higher than 23% of QLD Higher than 3% of QLD

Liveability

Chances Plain Red Hill
Grade —
same for both
Score —
same for both
Socio-economic band advantaged area
decile 8/10
advantaged area
decile 7/10

Risk profile

Chances Plain Red Hill
Bushfire None
0/100
same for both
Crime Low
12/100
Low
11/100
Flood Not mapped
no mapped data here
same for both
Coastal erosion None
0/100
same for both
Aircraft noise None
0/100
same for both
Industrial facilities nearby 0
within 5 km
same for both

Schools

Chances Plain Red Hill
Inside the suburb 0
same for both
Rated above peers 0
same for both
Rated at peers 0
same for both
Rated below peers 0
same for both

Amenities in the suburb

Chances Plain Red Hill
Waterways 0 2

Mobility

Red Hill sits further from the CBD (301.8 km vs 287.3 km).

Chances Plain Red Hill
Walkability score 0/100
same for both
Distance to Brisbane 287.3 km 301.8 km
+5% vs other
Drive time (normal traffic) 208 min 224 min
Electric vehicle share 0.1%
postcode 4413
same for both
Rooftop solar per 100 dwellings 49
postcode 4413
same for both

How people get to work

Method of travel on census day 2021 — which fell during COVID restrictions, so working from home is inflated and every travel mode understated.

Chances Plain Red Hill
Car (driver) 66.2% / 81.8%
Chances Plain — Car (driver): 66.2% Red Hill — Car (driver): 81.8%
Worked from Home 25.4% / 13.6%
Chances Plain — Worked from Home: 25.4% Red Hill — Worked from Home: 13.6%
Walked Only 4.2% / 4.5%
Chances Plain — Walked Only: 4.2% Red Hill — Walked Only: 4.5%
Bus 4.2% / —
Chances Plain — Bus: 4.2% Red Hill — Bus: not among its largest

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (81.8%).

Setting

Chances Plain Red Hill
Elevation 320 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
340 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre

NBN connectivity

Chances Plain Red Hill
Connectivity score 16/100 15/100
Most common technology Satellite (Sky Muster)
same for both
Full-fibre (FTTP) share 0%
25 premises
0%
16 premises

Council rates

Chances Plain Red Hill
Average residential rate $1,238/yr
same for both
Council Western Downs
same for both

Federal electorate

Chances Plain Red Hill
Division Maranoa
same for both
Member David Littleproud
same for both
Party Liberal National Party of Queensland
same for both

First Home Owner Grant

Chances Plain Red Hill
Grant amount $30,000
same for both
Property price cap $750,000
same for both
Eligibility New
same for both

Tags

Chances Plain

Red Hill

More comparisons

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Full data on Chances Plain Full data on Red Hill
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Information shown is provided as-is from Australian government and commercial data sources.
Always verify with the relevant authority before making property decisions.
See Data Sources and How We Calculate for details.

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