Chances Plain vs Chinchilla

Chinchilla is the younger of the two, with a median age of 33 against 43 in Chances Plain. In both, most households own their home and the large majority of homes are detached houses. In Chances Plain, most households are couple families. On these figures, Chances Plain tends to suit couples, while Chinchilla suits families with children.

Which one suits you?

There is no overall winner — the suburb that suits a family with school-age kids is routinely the wrong one for someone commuting into the city. So each of these answers its own question, against a checklist you can see, using the same figures in the tables below.

Families with school-age kids

Chinchilla

ahead on 3 of the 6 things we measure here

  • has more parks and reserves (11 vs 0)
  • has more childcare (6 vs 0)
  • has more schools inside the suburb (4 vs 0)
  • But Chances Plain carries lower crime risk (12/100 vs 74/100)

Weighs schools, house stock, crime, parks, childcare, and who already lives there.

First-home buyers

Too close to call

Nothing among the 1 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs mortgage stress.

Renters

They split

one each way, out of the 3 things we measure here

  • Chances Plain has cheaper rent ($231/wk vs $250/wk)
  • Chinchilla has a bigger rental market to choose from (44% vs 12%)

Weighs rent, rental stress, and how much is for rent.

Commuting to the city

They split

one each way, out of the 3 things we measure here

  • Chances Plain sits closer to the CBD (287.3 km vs 290.5 km)
  • Chinchilla is more walkable (21/100 vs 0/100)

Weighs distance, drive time, and walkability.

Downsizers and retirees

They split

one each way, out of the 5 things we measure here

  • Chances Plain carries lower crime risk (12/100 vs 74/100)
  • Chinchilla is more walkable (21/100 vs 0/100)

Weighs smaller dwellings, who already lives there, GPs, walkability, and crime.

Investors

Too close to call

Nothing among the 1 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs population growth.

Where they sit

Chances Plain and Chinchilla drawn to the same scale. Both outlines are shown together, so the map answers whether they share a border and how their areas compare.

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Hides rows where both suburbs match

Bars start at zero. Scores, risks and rankings are drawn against their full 0–100 range; other rows are drawn in proportion to the larger of the two.

Side by side, out of 100

Risks are inverted — shown as safety and low exposure — so a longer bar always means better.

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Walkability 0 / 21
Chances Plain — Walkability: 0/100 Chinchilla — Walkability: 21/100
Safety 88 / 26
Chances Plain — Safety: 88/100 Chinchilla — Safety: 26/100
Low fire risk 100 / 100
Chances Plain — Low fire risk: 100/100 Chinchilla — Low fire risk: 100/100

Demographics

Chinchilla has more residents (7,068 vs 158); Chances Plain skews older (43 vs 33).

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Population 158 7,068
+4373% vs other
Population trend (2016 → 2021) +4.6% +6.9%
Median age 43 33
Median household income $99,112/yr
+19% vs other
 $80,548/yr
Median weekly rent $231/wk $250/wk
+8% vs other

Age profile

Share of residents in each band, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain Chinchilla
0-4 6.3% / 7.2%
Chances Plain — 0-4: 6.3% Chinchilla — 0-4: 7.2%
5-14 10.1% / 15.5%
Chances Plain — 5-14: 10.1% Chinchilla — 5-14: 15.5%
15-19 10.1% / 5.7%
Chances Plain — 15-19: 10.1% Chinchilla — 15-19: 5.7%
20-24 5.1% / 6.2%
Chances Plain — 20-24: 5.1% Chinchilla — 20-24: 6.2%
25-34 4.4% / 16.9%
Chances Plain — 25-34: 4.4% Chinchilla — 25-34: 16.9%
35-44 11.4% / 12.3%
Chances Plain — 35-44: 11.4% Chinchilla — 35-44: 12.3%
45-54 14.6% / 10.6%
Chances Plain — 45-54: 14.6% Chinchilla — 45-54: 10.6%
55-64 15.2% / 10.8%
Chances Plain — 55-64: 15.2% Chinchilla — 55-64: 10.8%
65-74 12.7% / 8.1%
Chances Plain — 65-74: 12.7% Chinchilla — 65-74: 8.1%
75-84 3.8% / 4.9%
Chances Plain — 75-84: 3.8% Chinchilla — 75-84: 4.9%
85+ — / 1.8%
Chances Plain — 85+: not among its largest Chinchilla — 85+: 1.8%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (16.9%).

Who lives together

Household composition, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain 58.6% couple families
Chances Plain — Couple Families: 58.6% Chances Plain — Lone Person: 31.0% Chances Plain — One Parent Families: 0.0% Chances Plain — Group Household: 10.3% Chances Plain — Other Families: 0.0%
Chinchilla 38.1% couple families
Chinchilla — Couple Families: 38.1% Chinchilla — Lone Person: 38.7% Chinchilla — One Parent Families: 17.6% Chinchilla — Group Household: 4.5% Chinchilla — Other Families: 1.0%
Couple Families Lone Person One Parent Families Group Household Other Families

Who owns and who rents

Occupied private dwellings by tenure, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain 12.2% renting
Chances Plain — Owned Outright: 65.9% Chances Plain — Mortgage: 22.0% Chances Plain — Renting: 12.2%
Chinchilla 44.0% renting
Chinchilla — Owned Outright: 27.0% Chinchilla — Mortgage: 29.0% Chinchilla — Renting: 44.0%
Owned outright Mortgage Renting

What people live in

Occupied private dwellings by structure, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain 88.2% houses
Chances Plain — Houses: 88.2% Chances Plain — Flats / Apartments: 11.8% Chances Plain — Townhouses: 0.0%
Chinchilla 83.3% houses
Chinchilla — Houses: 83.3% Chinchilla — Flats / Apartments: 2.6% Chinchilla — Townhouses: 14.1%
Houses Flats / Apartments Townhouses

Qualifications

Highest non-school qualification, residents 15+, 2021 Census.

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Certificate III & IV 20.9% / 16.9%
Chances Plain — Certificate III & IV: 20.9% Chinchilla — Certificate III & IV: 16.9%
Bachelor Degree 8.9% / 7.3%
Chances Plain — Bachelor Degree: 8.9% Chinchilla — Bachelor Degree: 7.3%
Advanced Diploma / Diploma 3.8% / 5.3%
Chances Plain — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 3.8% Chinchilla — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 5.3%
Postgraduate Degree — / 1.2%
Chances Plain — Postgraduate Degree: not among its largest Chinchilla — Postgraduate Degree: 1.2%
Graduate Diploma / Certificate — / 0.9%
Chances Plain — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: not among its largest Chinchilla — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 0.9%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (20.9%).

Property market

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Median house price — $470,000
Median unit price — $353,000
Median land price — $493,250
Typical days to sell (houses) — 49 days
from 79 sales

Development activity

Chances Plain Chinchilla
New dwellings approved 53
across Western Downs
same for both
Approvals change year on year -40%
same for both

Gross rental yield

Gross — before strata, rates, management, insurance and vacancy. From median advertised rents and median asking prices over the last 6 months. How we calculate.

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Houses — 4.4%
$500/wk on $590K
Units — 4.8%
$400/wk on $430K

Ranking within QLD

Chances Plain Chinchilla
House price —
same for both
Income Higher than 73% of QLD Higher than 51% of QLD
Schools — Higher than 62% of QLD
Walkability Higher than 13% of QLD Higher than 79% of QLD
Affordability —
same for both
EV adoption Higher than 6% of QLD
same for both
NBN connectivity Higher than 23% of QLD Higher than 76% of QLD
Rental yield (houses) — Higher than 73% of QLD
Rental yield (units) — Higher than 68% of QLD

Liveability

Chinchilla is more walkable (21 vs 0).

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Grade — C
Score — 43/100
Socio-economic band advantaged area
decile 8/10
 below-average income
decile 2/10

Risk profile

Chinchilla carries more crime risk (74 vs 12).

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Bushfire None
0/100
same for both
Crime Low
12/100
 High
74/100
Flood Not mapped
no mapped data here
same for both
Coastal erosion None
0/100
same for both
Aircraft noise None
0/100
same for both
Industrial facilities nearby 0
within 5 km
same for both

Schools

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Inside the suburb 0 4
Rated above peers 0 1
Rated at peers 0 3
Rated below peers 0
same for both

Schools in Chances Plain

No schools recorded inside this suburb's boundary. Children here will be zoned to schools nearby.

Schools in Chinchilla

  • Chinchilla State High School Government · Secondary above peers
  • Chinchilla Christian College Independent · Combined at peers
  • Chinchilla State School Government · Primary at peers
  • St Joseph's School Catholic · Primary at peers

Amenities in the suburb

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Supermarkets 0 2
Cafes & restaurants 0 5
Parks & reserves 0 11
Childcare 0 6
GPs 0 1
Pharmacies 0 2
Hospitals 0 1
Police stations 0 1
Banks & Bank@Post 0 5
Fuel stations 0 2
Waterways 0 2

Mobility

Chinchilla sits further from the CBD (290.5 km vs 287.3 km).

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Walkability score 0/100 21/100
Distance to Brisbane 287.3 km 290.5 km
+1% vs other
Drive time (normal traffic) 208 min 211 min
Electric vehicle share 0.1%
postcode 4413
same for both
Rooftop solar per 100 dwellings 49
postcode 4413
same for both

How people get to work

Method of travel on census day 2021 — which fell during COVID restrictions, so working from home is inflated and every travel mode understated.

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Car (driver) 66.2% / 74.6%
Chances Plain — Car (driver): 66.2% Chinchilla — Car (driver): 74.6%
Worked from Home 25.4% / 7.4%
Chances Plain — Worked from Home: 25.4% Chinchilla — Worked from Home: 7.4%
Car (passenger) — / 9.0%
Chances Plain — Car (passenger): not among its largest Chinchilla — Car (passenger): 9.0%
Walked Only 4.2% / 4.2%
Chances Plain — Walked Only: 4.2% Chinchilla — Walked Only: 4.2%
Bus 4.2% / 3.8%
Chances Plain — Bus: 4.2% Chinchilla — Bus: 3.8%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (74.6%).

Setting

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Elevation 320 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
 312 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre

NBN connectivity

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Connectivity score 16/100 66/100
Most common technology Satellite (Sky Muster) Fibre to the node
Full-fibre (FTTP) share 0%
25 premises
 39%
3,672 premises

Council rates

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Average residential rate $1,238/yr
same for both
Council Western Downs
same for both

Federal electorate

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Division Maranoa
same for both
Member David Littleproud
same for both
Party Liberal National Party of Queensland
same for both

First Home Owner Grant

Chances Plain Chinchilla
Grant amount $30,000
same for both
Property price cap $750,000
same for both
Eligibility New
same for both

Tags

Chances Plain

Rural

Chinchilla

Affordable Family

More comparisons

Other comparisons with Chances Plain

Chances Plain vs Brigalow Chances Plain vs Red Hill Chances Plain vs Burncluith Chances Plain vs Canaga

Other comparisons with Chinchilla

Chinchilla vs Red Hill Chinchilla vs Hopeland Chinchilla vs Crossroads Chinchilla vs Baking Board Chinchilla vs Greenswamp
Full data on Chances Plain Full data on Chinchilla
Unlock full address-level data — $29/month

Information shown is provided as-is from Australian government and commercial data sources.
Always verify with the relevant authority before making property decisions.
See Data Sources and How We Calculate for details.

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