Carnes Hill vs Horningsea Park

In both, the large majority of households own their home, the large majority of homes are detached houses, and most households are couple families. Houses cost more in Carnes Hill: a median of $1.4 million, against $1.07 million in Horningsea Park, and rent is higher there too. On these figures, Carnes Hill tends to suit families with children, while Horningsea Park suits buyers on a tighter budget.

Which one suits you?

There is no overall winner — the suburb that suits a family with school-age kids is routinely the wrong one for someone commuting into the city. So each of these answers its own question, against a checklist you can see, using the same figures in the tables below.

Families with school-age kids

Horningsea Park

ahead on 2 of the 6 things we measure here

  • has more parks and reserves (5 vs 1)
  • carries lower crime risk (28/100 vs 71/100)
  • But Carnes Hill has more schools rated above their peers (1 vs 0)

Weighs schools, house stock, crime, parks, childcare, and who already lives there.

First-home buyers

Horningsea Park

ahead on 2 of the 3 things we measure here

  • has cheaper land ($675,000 vs $985,000)
  • has cheaper houses ($1,070,000 vs $1,400,000)

Weighs house prices, land prices, and mortgage stress.

Renters

Horningsea Park

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • has cheaper rent ($530/wk vs $600/wk)

Weighs rent, rental stress, and how much is for rent.

Commuting to the city

Carnes Hill

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • is more walkable (75/100 vs 64/100)

Weighs distance, drive time, rail access, and walkability.

Downsizers and retirees

Carnes Hill

ahead on 2 of the 5 things we measure here

  • has more GPs (2 vs 0)
  • is more walkable (75/100 vs 64/100)
  • But Horningsea Park carries lower crime risk (28/100 vs 71/100)

Weighs smaller dwellings, who already lives there, GPs, walkability, and crime.

Investors

Carnes Hill

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • is growing faster (63.1% vs -1.5%)

Weighs population growth.

Where they sit

Carnes Hill and Horningsea Park drawn to the same scale. Both outlines are shown together, so the map answers whether they share a border and how their areas compare.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Hides rows where both suburbs match

Bars start at zero. Scores, risks and rankings are drawn against their full 0–100 range; other rows are drawn in proportion to the larger of the two.

Side by side, out of 100

Risks are inverted — shown as safety and low exposure — so a longer bar always means better.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Walkability 75 / 64
Carnes Hill — Walkability: 75/100 Horningsea Park — Walkability: 64/100
Safety 29 / 72
Carnes Hill — Safety: 29/100 Horningsea Park — Safety: 72/100
Low fire risk 100 / 100
Carnes Hill — Low fire risk: 100/100 Horningsea Park — Low fire risk: 100/100

Demographics

Carnes Hill rents higher ($600/wk vs $530/wk).

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Population 3,332 3,673
+10% vs other
Population trend (2016 → 2021) +63.1% -1.5%
Median age 32
same for both
Median household income $136,760/yr
+7% vs other
 $127,764/yr
Median weekly rent $600/wk
+12% vs other
 $530/wk

Age profile

Share of residents in each band, 2021 Census.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
0-4 8.3% / 5.9%
Carnes Hill — 0-4: 8.3% Horningsea Park — 0-4: 5.9%
5-14 21.2% / 15.3%
Carnes Hill — 5-14: 21.2% Horningsea Park — 5-14: 15.3%
15-19 7.2% / 10.0%
Carnes Hill — 15-19: 7.2% Horningsea Park — 15-19: 10.0%
20-24 5.9% / 8.2%
Carnes Hill — 20-24: 5.9% Horningsea Park — 20-24: 8.2%
25-34 11.8% / 12.7%
Carnes Hill — 25-34: 11.8% Horningsea Park — 25-34: 12.7%
35-44 19.9% / 13.2%
Carnes Hill — 35-44: 19.9% Horningsea Park — 35-44: 13.2%
45-54 12.4% / 15.9%
Carnes Hill — 45-54: 12.4% Horningsea Park — 45-54: 15.9%
55-64 7.1% / 10.9%
Carnes Hill — 55-64: 7.1% Horningsea Park — 55-64: 10.9%
65-74 3.8% / 5.4%
Carnes Hill — 65-74: 3.8% Horningsea Park — 65-74: 5.4%
75-84 2.0% / 2.1%
Carnes Hill — 75-84: 2.0% Horningsea Park — 75-84: 2.1%
85+ 0.5% / 0.4%
Carnes Hill — 85+: 0.5% Horningsea Park — 85+: 0.4%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (21.2%).

Who lives together

Household composition, 2021 Census.

Carnes Hill 79.4% couple families
Carnes Hill — Couple Families: 79.4% Carnes Hill — One Parent Families: 13.0% Carnes Hill — Lone Person: 6.7% Carnes Hill — Group Household: 0.4% Carnes Hill — Other Families: 0.4%
Horningsea Park 72.5% couple families
Horningsea Park — Couple Families: 72.5% Horningsea Park — One Parent Families: 16.8% Horningsea Park — Lone Person: 9.5% Horningsea Park — Group Household: 0.7% Horningsea Park — Other Families: 0.5%
Couple Families One Parent Families Lone Person Group Household Other Families

Who owns and who rents

Occupied private dwellings by tenure, 2021 Census.

Carnes Hill 17.4% renting
Carnes Hill — Owned Outright: 16.7% Carnes Hill — Mortgage: 65.9% Carnes Hill — Renting: 17.4%
Horningsea Park 19.9% renting
Horningsea Park — Owned Outright: 21.0% Horningsea Park — Mortgage: 59.1% Horningsea Park — Renting: 19.9%
Owned outright Mortgage Renting

Qualifications

Highest non-school qualification, residents 15+, 2021 Census.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Bachelor Degree 13.5% / 12.6%
Carnes Hill — Bachelor Degree: 13.5% Horningsea Park — Bachelor Degree: 12.6%
Certificate III & IV 8.4% / 12.6%
Carnes Hill — Certificate III & IV: 8.4% Horningsea Park — Certificate III & IV: 12.6%
Advanced Diploma / Diploma 8.6% / 8.5%
Carnes Hill — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 8.6% Horningsea Park — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 8.5%
Postgraduate Degree 3.5% / 3.2%
Carnes Hill — Postgraduate Degree: 3.5% Horningsea Park — Postgraduate Degree: 3.2%
Graduate Diploma / Certificate 0.9% / 0.6%
Carnes Hill — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 0.9% Horningsea Park — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 0.6%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (13.5%).

Where residents were born

Largest overseas birthplaces, as a share of all residents, 2021 Census. A dash means that country is not among the suburb's own eight largest.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Iraq 10.3% / 4.9%
Carnes Hill — Iraq: 10.3% Horningsea Park — Iraq: 4.9%
Fiji 4.9% / 3.2%
Carnes Hill — Fiji: 4.9% Horningsea Park — Fiji: 3.2%
Vietnam 2.7% / 2.4%
Carnes Hill — Vietnam: 2.7% Horningsea Park — Vietnam: 2.4%
Philippines 2.3% / 2.4%
Carnes Hill — Philippines: 2.3% Horningsea Park — Philippines: 2.4%
India 4.2% / —
Carnes Hill — India: 4.2% Horningsea Park — India: not among its largest
New Zealand 1.7% / 1.6%
Carnes Hill — New Zealand: 1.7% Horningsea Park — New Zealand: 1.6%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (10.3%).

What people live in

Occupied private dwellings by structure, 2021 Census.

Carnes Hill 97.6% houses
Carnes Hill — Houses: 97.6% Carnes Hill — Flats / Apartments: 1.7% Carnes Hill — Townhouses: 0.7%
Horningsea Park 98.3% houses
Horningsea Park — Houses: 98.3% Horningsea Park — Flats / Apartments: 0.9% Horningsea Park — Townhouses: 0.8%
Houses Flats / Apartments Townhouses

Property market

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Median house price $1,400,000 $1,070,000
Median unit price —
same for both
Median land price $985,000 $675,000
Typical days to sell (houses) 28 days
from 12 sales
 24 days
from 28 sales

House price by bedroom count

Only bed counts both suburbs published enough sales for. Sale counts are shown because the buckets differ in depth.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
4 bed $1.36M / $1.13M
Carnes Hill — 4 bed: $1.36M (19 sales) Horningsea Park — 4 bed: $1.13M (40 sales)

19 vs 40 sales

5 bed $1.65M / $1.35M
Carnes Hill — 5 bed: $1.65M (11 sales) Horningsea Park — 5 bed: $1.35M (12 sales)

11 vs 12 sales

Zoning mix

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Residential 63% 90%
Parks and recreation 18% 3%
Commercial 10% 0%
Infrastructure and transport 9% 7%
Planning zones cover 99% of Carnes Hill and 100% of Horningsea Park. The rest is unzoned land such as water or road reserve.
Zoning sets what may be built, not what is there today. A single address can sit in a different zone to the suburb around it. Zones as at 2026-09.

Development activity

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
New dwellings approved 2,229
across Liverpool
same for both
Approvals change year on year +28%
same for both

Gross rental yield

Gross — before strata, rates, management, insurance and vacancy. From median advertised rents and median asking prices over the last 6 months. How we calculate.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Houses — 3.7%
$800/wk on $1.13M
Units —
same for both

Ranking within NSW

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
House price Higher than 72% of NSW Higher than 48% of NSW
Income Higher than 91% of NSW Higher than 88% of NSW
Schools —
same for both
Walkability Higher than 90% of NSW Higher than 86% of NSW
Affordability Higher than 61% of NSW Higher than 81% of NSW
EV adoption Higher than 81% of NSW
same for both
NBN connectivity Higher than 79% of NSW Higher than 90% of NSW
Rental yield (houses) — Higher than 55% of NSW

Liveability

Carnes Hill is more walkable (75 vs 64).

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Grade B A
Score 69/100 73/100
Socio-economic band very advantaged area
decile 9/10
 advantaged area
decile 8/10

Risk profile

Carnes Hill carries more crime risk (71 vs 28).

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Bushfire None
0/100
same for both
Crime High
71/100
 Low
28/100
Flood Not mapped
no mapped data here
same for both
Coastal erosion None
0/100
same for both
Aircraft noise None
0/100
same for both
Industrial facilities nearby 2
within 5 km
same for both

Schools

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Inside the suburb 1
same for both
Rated above peers 1 0
Rated at peers 0 1
Rated below peers 0
same for both
Universities within 10 km 1
50 Scott Street Liverpool, 6.4 km
 1
50 Scott Street Liverpool, 7.3 km
Full-time students aged 15–24 2.8% 3.9%

Schools in Carnes Hill

  • Holy Spirit Catholic Primary School Catholic · Primary above peers

Schools in Horningsea Park

  • John Edmondson High School Government · Secondary at peers

Amenities in the suburb

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Supermarkets 2 0
Cafes & restaurants 7 0
Parks & reserves 1 5
Childcare 2 1
GPs 2 0
Banks & Bank@Post 3 0
Fuel stations 1 0
Waterways 6 0

Mobility

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Walkability score 75/100 64/100
Distance to Sydney 46.9 km
+1% vs other
 46.2 km
Drive time (normal traffic) 44 min 43 min
Public transport score 70/100
Bus
 79/100
Bus
Peak arrivals per hour 21.8
7-9am + 5-7pm
 123.0
7-9am + 5-7pm
Median peak wait 2 min
scheduled, not actual
 0 min
scheduled, not actual
Electric vehicle share 1.1%
postcode 2171
same for both
Rooftop solar per 100 dwellings 57
postcode 2171
same for both

How people get to work

Method of travel on census day 2021 — which fell during COVID restrictions, so working from home is inflated and every travel mode understated.

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Car (driver) 50.8% / 52.4%
Carnes Hill — Car (driver): 50.8% Horningsea Park — Car (driver): 52.4%
Worked from Home 43.9% / 41.6%
Carnes Hill — Worked from Home: 43.9% Horningsea Park — Worked from Home: 41.6%
Car (passenger) 2.3% / 4.1%
Carnes Hill — Car (passenger): 2.3% Horningsea Park — Car (passenger): 4.1%
Train 1.9% / 1.6%
Carnes Hill — Train: 1.9% Horningsea Park — Train: 1.6%
Walked Only 1.1% / 0.3%
Carnes Hill — Walked Only: 1.1% Horningsea Park — Walked Only: 0.3%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (52.4%).

Setting

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Elevation 45 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
 51 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
Distance to the ocean 26.9 km 27.3 km

NBN connectivity

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Connectivity score 72/100 81/100
Most common technology Fibre to the node Fibre to the premises
Full-fibre (FTTP) share 49%
253 premises
 65%
1,053 premises

Climate

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Annual rainfall 909 mm
same for both
Summer max (Jan) 28.7°C
same for both
Winter min (Jul) 6.4°C
same for both

Air quality (annual mean)

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
PM2.5 6.8 µg/m³
same for both
PM10 18.2 µg/m³
same for both
NO₂ 0.72 pphm
same for both

Council rates

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Average residential rate $1,322/yr
same for both
Council Liverpool
same for both

Federal electorate

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Division Werriwa
same for both
Member Anne Maree Stanley
same for both
Party Australian Labor Party
same for both

First Home Owner Grant

Carnes Hill Horningsea Park
Grant amount $10,000
same for both
Property price cap $600,000
same for both
Eligibility New
same for both

Tags

Carnes Hill

Family Multicultural Outer Parks River

Horningsea Park

Multicultural Outer Parks River Urban

More comparisons

Other comparisons with Carnes Hill

Carnes Hill vs Prestons Carnes Hill vs West Hoxton Carnes Hill vs Hoxton Park

Other comparisons with Horningsea Park

Horningsea Park vs Prestons Horningsea Park vs Edmondson Park Horningsea Park vs West Hoxton Horningsea Park vs Leppington
Full data on Carnes Hill Full data on Horningsea Park
Unlock full address-level data — $29/month

Information shown is provided as-is from Australian government and commercial data sources.
Always verify with the relevant authority before making property decisions.
See Data Sources and How We Calculate for details.

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