Alfredton vs Lucas

Lucas is the younger of the two, with a median age of 32 against 35 in Alfredton. In both, most households own their home, the large majority of homes are detached houses, and about half of households are couple families.

Which one suits you?

There is no overall winner — the suburb that suits a family with school-age kids is routinely the wrong one for someone commuting into the city. So each of these answers its own question, against a checklist you can see, using the same figures in the tables below.

Families with school-age kids

Alfredton

ahead on 2 of the 6 things we measure here

  • has more parks and reserves (22 vs 1)
  • has more schools inside the suburb (2 vs 0)

Weighs schools, house stock, crime, parks, childcare, and who already lives there.

First-home buyers

Lucas

ahead on the one thing that separates them

  • has cheaper land ($335,000 vs $602,500)

Weighs house prices, land prices, and mortgage stress.

Renters

Too close to call

Nothing among the 3 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs rent, rental stress, and how much is for rent.

Commuting to the city

Alfredton

ahead on 2 of the 4 things we measure here

  • is more walkable (56/100 vs 22/100)
  • sits closer to the CBD (125.2 km vs 128.3 km)

Weighs distance, drive time, rail access, and walkability.

Downsizers and retirees

Alfredton

ahead on 2 of the 5 things we measure here

  • is more walkable (56/100 vs 22/100)
  • has more GPs (4 vs 2)

Weighs smaller dwellings, who already lives there, GPs, walkability, and crime.

Investors

Too close to call

Nothing among the 1 things we measure here separates them by enough to be worth acting on.

Weighs house yield.

Where they sit

Alfredton and Lucas drawn to the same scale. Both outlines are shown together, so the map answers whether they share a border and how their areas compare.

Alfredton Lucas
Hides rows where both suburbs match

Bars start at zero. Scores, risks and rankings are drawn against their full 0–100 range; other rows are drawn in proportion to the larger of the two.

Side by side, out of 100

Risks are inverted — shown as safety and low exposure — so a longer bar always means better.

Alfredton Lucas
Walkability 56 / 22
Alfredton — Walkability: 56/100 Lucas — Walkability: 22/100
Safety 33 / 30
Alfredton — Safety: 33/100 Lucas — Safety: 30/100
Low fire risk 86 / 100
Alfredton — Low fire risk: 86/100 Lucas — Low fire risk: 100/100
Low flood risk 100 / 64
Alfredton — Low flood risk: 100/100 Lucas — Low flood risk: 64/100

Demographics

Alfredton has more residents (11,822 vs 2,994); Alfredton skews older (35 vs 32).

Alfredton Lucas
Population 11,822
+75% vs other
 2,994
Population trend (2016 → 2021) +28.2% —
Median age 35 32
Median household income $97,916/yr $101,712/yr
+4% vs other
Median weekly rent $365/wk $380/wk
+4% vs other

Age profile

Share of residents in each band, 2021 Census.

Alfredton Lucas
0-4 6.5% / 9.9%
Alfredton — 0-4: 6.5% Lucas — 0-4: 9.9%
5-14 16.5% / 15.7%
Alfredton — 5-14: 16.5% Lucas — 5-14: 15.7%
15-19 7.9% / 5.9%
Alfredton — 15-19: 7.9% Lucas — 15-19: 5.9%
20-24 6.4% / 7.1%
Alfredton — 20-24: 6.4% Lucas — 20-24: 7.1%
25-34 11.8% / 16.6%
Alfredton — 25-34: 11.8% Lucas — 25-34: 16.6%
35-44 14.0% / 16.3%
Alfredton — 35-44: 14.0% Lucas — 35-44: 16.3%
45-54 12.8% / 10.3%
Alfredton — 45-54: 12.8% Lucas — 45-54: 10.3%
55-64 10.0% / 6.5%
Alfredton — 55-64: 10.0% Lucas — 55-64: 6.5%
65-74 8.4% / 6.8%
Alfredton — 65-74: 8.4% Lucas — 65-74: 6.8%
75-84 4.5% / 4.0%
Alfredton — 75-84: 4.5% Lucas — 75-84: 4.0%
85+ 1.2% / 0.7%
Alfredton — 85+: 1.2% Lucas — 85+: 0.7%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (16.6%).

Who lives together

Household composition, 2021 Census.

Alfredton 48.7% couple families
Alfredton — Couple Families: 48.7% Alfredton — Lone Person: 26.7% Alfredton — One Parent Families: 19.2% Alfredton — Group Household: 4.4% Alfredton — Other Families: 1.0%
Lucas 50.5% couple families
Lucas — Couple Families: 50.5% Lucas — Lone Person: 26.8% Lucas — One Parent Families: 16.4% Lucas — Group Household: 5.1% Lucas — Other Families: 1.1%
Couple Families Lone Person One Parent Families Group Household Other Families

Who owns and who rents

Occupied private dwellings by tenure, 2021 Census.

Alfredton 30.3% renting
Alfredton — Owned Outright: 31.6% Alfredton — Mortgage: 38.1% Alfredton — Renting: 30.3%
Lucas 34.8% renting
Lucas — Owned Outright: 21.7% Lucas — Mortgage: 43.5% Lucas — Renting: 34.8%
Owned outright Mortgage Renting

Where residents were born

Largest overseas birthplaces, as a share of all residents, 2021 Census. A dash means that country is not among the suburb's own eight largest.

Alfredton Lucas
India 4.0% / 6.4%
Alfredton — India: 4.0% Lucas — India: 6.4%
England 1.8% / 2.6%
Alfredton — England: 1.8% Lucas — England: 2.6%
China 1.3% / 1.6%
Alfredton — China: 1.3% Lucas — China: 1.6%
New Zealand 0.9% / 1.2%
Alfredton — New Zealand: 0.9% Lucas — New Zealand: 1.2%
Philippines 0.6% / 1.3%
Alfredton — Philippines: 0.6% Lucas — Philippines: 1.3%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (6.4%).

Qualifications

Highest non-school qualification, residents 15+, 2021 Census.

Alfredton Lucas
Bachelor Degree 13.8% / 14.3%
Alfredton — Bachelor Degree: 13.8% Lucas — Bachelor Degree: 14.3%
Certificate III & IV 13.3% / 14.0%
Alfredton — Certificate III & IV: 13.3% Lucas — Certificate III & IV: 14.0%
Advanced Diploma / Diploma 7.5% / 7.9%
Alfredton — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 7.5% Lucas — Advanced Diploma / Diploma: 7.9%
Postgraduate Degree 4.9% / 5.8%
Alfredton — Postgraduate Degree: 4.9% Lucas — Postgraduate Degree: 5.8%
Graduate Diploma / Certificate 3.0% / 2.5%
Alfredton — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 3.0% Lucas — Graduate Diploma / Certificate: 2.5%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (14.3%).

What people live in

Occupied private dwellings by structure, 2021 Census.

Alfredton 90.4% houses
Alfredton — Houses: 90.4% Alfredton — Flats / Apartments: 5.6% Alfredton — Townhouses: 3.9%
Lucas 97.1% houses
Lucas — Houses: 97.1% Lucas — Flats / Apartments: 0.7% Lucas — Townhouses: 2.3%
Houses Flats / Apartments Townhouses

Property market

Alfredton Lucas
Median house price $652,500 $644,000
Median unit price $340,000 —
Median land price $602,500 $335,000
Typical days to sell (houses) 33 days
from 181 sales
 45 days
from 124 sales

House price by bedroom count

Only bed counts both suburbs published enough sales for. Sale counts are shown because the buckets differ in depth.

Alfredton Lucas
3 bed $590K / $622K
Alfredton — 3 bed: $590K (136 sales) Lucas — 3 bed: $622K (82 sales)

136 vs 82 sales

4 bed $682K / $652K
Alfredton — 4 bed: $682K (262 sales) Lucas — 4 bed: $652K (272 sales)

262 vs 272 sales

5 bed $845K / $770K
Alfredton — 5 bed: $845K (11 sales) Lucas — 5 bed: $770K (17 sales)

11 vs 17 sales

Zoning mix

Alfredton has more industrially zoned land (18% vs 0%).

Alfredton Lucas
Residential 67% 99%
Industrial 18% 0%
Other and special use 8% 0%
Infrastructure and transport 5% 1%
Parks and recreation 2% 0%
Zoning sets what may be built, not what is there today. A single address can sit in a different zone to the suburb around it. Zones as at 2026-09.

Development activity

Alfredton Lucas
New dwellings approved 1,451
across Ballarat
same for both
Approvals change year on year +42%
same for both

Gross rental yield

Gross — before strata, rates, management, insurance and vacancy. From median advertised rents and median asking prices over the last 6 months. How we calculate.

Alfredton Lucas
Houses 3.5%
$500/wk on $740K
 3.4%
$500/wk on $762K
Units 4.9%
$385/wk on $410K
 —

Ranking within VIC

Alfredton Lucas
House price Higher than 27% of VIC Higher than 29% of VIC
Income Higher than 71% of VIC Higher than 74% of VIC
Schools —
same for both
Walkability Higher than 87% of VIC Higher than 80% of VIC
Affordability Higher than 90% of VIC Higher than 92% of VIC
EV adoption Higher than 73% of VIC
same for both
NBN connectivity Higher than 94% of VIC Higher than 100% of VIC
Rental yield (houses) Higher than 37% of VIC Higher than 32% of VIC
Rental yield (units) Higher than 55% of VIC —

Liveability

Alfredton is more walkable (56 vs 22); Alfredton scores higher overall (61 vs 55).

Alfredton Lucas
Grade B
same for both
Score 61/100 55/100
Socio-economic band advantaged area
decile 7/10
same for both

Risk profile

Lucas carries more flood risk (36 vs 0); Alfredton carries more bushfire risk (14 vs 0).

Alfredton Lucas
Bushfire Low
14/100
 None
0/100
Crime Moderate
67/100
 High
70/100
Flood None
0/100
 Low
36/100
Coastal erosion None
0/100
same for both
Aircraft noise None
0/100
same for both
Industrial facilities nearby 17
within 5 km
 5
within 5 km

Schools

Alfredton Lucas
Inside the suburb 2 0
Rated above peers 0
same for both
Rated at peers 0
same for both
Rated below peers 2 0
Universities within 10 km 1
Federation University Ballarat, 4.4 km
 1
Federation University Ballarat, 7.2 km
Full-time students aged 15–24 2.6% 1.9%

Schools in Alfredton

  • Alfredton Primary School Government · Primary below peers
  • St Thomas More School Catholic · Primary below peers

Schools in Lucas

  • Lucas Primary School Government · Primary at peers
  • Siena Catholic Primary School Catholic · Primary below peers

Amenities in the suburb

Alfredton Lucas
Supermarkets 1
same for both
Cafes & restaurants 2
same for both
Parks & reserves 22 1
Childcare 7 5
GPs 4 2
Pharmacies 2 1
Banks & Bank@Post 0 1
Fuel stations 2 1
EV chargers 0 1
Waterways 1 0

Mobility

Lucas sits further from the CBD (128.3 km vs 125.2 km).

Alfredton Lucas
Walkability score 56/100 22/100
Distance to Melbourne 125.2 km 128.3 km
+2% vs other
Drive time (normal traffic) 94 min 93 min
Public transport score 75/100 42/100
Peak arrivals per hour 57.0
7-9am + 5-7pm
 8.0
7-9am + 5-7pm
Median peak wait 1 min
scheduled, not actual
 2 min
scheduled, not actual
Electric vehicle share 0.9%
postcode 3350
same for both
Rooftop solar per 100 dwellings 30
postcode 3350
same for both

How people get to work

Method of travel on census day 2021 — which fell during COVID restrictions, so working from home is inflated and every travel mode understated.

Alfredton Lucas
Car (driver) 73.7% / 75.9%
Alfredton — Car (driver): 73.7% Lucas — Car (driver): 75.9%
Worked from Home 17.1% / 17.5%
Alfredton — Worked from Home: 17.1% Lucas — Worked from Home: 17.5%
Car (passenger) 6.6% / 4.6%
Alfredton — Car (passenger): 6.6% Lucas — Car (passenger): 4.6%
Walked Only 1.0% / 0.8%
Alfredton — Walked Only: 1.0% Lucas — Walked Only: 0.8%
Train 0.5% / 1.0%
Alfredton — Train: 0.5% Lucas — Train: 1.0%
Bicycle 0.6% / 0.2%
Alfredton — Bicycle: 0.6% Lucas — Bicycle: 0.2%

Bars are drawn against the largest share shown (75.9%).

Setting

Alfredton Lucas
Elevation 455 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre
 432 m
above sea level, at the suburb centre

NBN connectivity

Alfredton Lucas
Connectivity score 86/100 100/100
Most common technology Fibre to the premises
same for both
Full-fibre (FTTP) share 74%
5,628 premises
 99%
2,144 premises

Climate

Alfredton Lucas
Annual rainfall 605 mm
same for both
Summer max (Jan) 25.7°C
same for both
Winter min (Jul) 3.5°C
same for both

Council rates

Alfredton Lucas
Average residential rate $2,086/yr
same for both
Council Ballarat
same for both

Federal electorate

Alfredton Lucas
Division Ballarat
same for both
Member Catherine King
same for both
Party Australian Labor Party
same for both

First Home Owner Grant

Alfredton Lucas
Grant amount $10,000
same for both
Property price cap $750,000
same for both
Eligibility New
same for both

Tags

Alfredton

Family Large Blocks Parks Quiet Regional Centre

Lucas

Family Large Blocks Young Families

More comparisons

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Other comparisons with Lucas

Lucas vs Winter Valley Lucas vs Cardigan Lucas vs Bunkers Hill
Full data on Alfredton Full data on Lucas
Unlock full address-level data — $29/month

Information shown is provided as-is from Australian government and commercial data sources.
Always verify with the relevant authority before making property decisions.
See Data Sources and How We Calculate for details.

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